Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.038511 0.041964 0.045445 0.049211 0.053164 0.057184 0.061573
2025-10-26 0.031674 0.036732 0.042019 0.047930 0.054328 0.061019 0.068521
2025-11-02 0.025723 0.031867 0.038531 0.046229 0.054809 0.064017 0.074585
2025-11-09 0.021427 0.028402 0.036256 0.045615 0.056333 0.068104 0.081891
2025-11-16 0.018027 0.025619 0.034491 0.045386 0.058181 0.072529 0.089637
2025-11-23 0.015675 0.023832 0.033708 0.046171 0.061135 0.078215 0.098889
2025-11-30 0.013986 0.022681 0.033561 0.047632 0.064856 0.084818 0.109284
2025-12-07 0.012224 0.021238 0.032910 0.048382 0.067682 0.090377 0.118523
2025-12-14 0.010781 0.020056 0.032472 0.049315 0.070689 0.096152 0.128059
2025-12-21 0.009638 0.019161 0.032317 0.050544 0.074034 0.102339 0.138128
2025-12-28 0.007751 0.016932 0.030176 0.049046 0.073853 0.104181 0.142961
2026-01-04 0.006640 0.015746 0.029372 0.049231 0.075751 0.108540 0.150828
2026-01-11 0.005686 0.014751 0.028852 0.049885 0.078416 0.114084 0.160470
2026-01-18 0.004437 0.013043 0.027141 0.048805 0.078771 0.116741 0.166620
2026-01-25 0.003295 0.011281 0.025174 0.047234 0.078392 0.118431 0.171577
2026-02-01 0.002539 0.010097 0.024000 0.046720 0.079386 0.121861 0.178724
2026-02-08 0.001967 0.009150 0.023116 0.046566 0.080837 0.125875 0.186631
2026-02-15 0.001619 0.008636 0.022918 0.047420 0.083684 0.131728 0.196914
2026-02-22 0.001397 0.008387 0.023161 0.048947 0.087489 0.138873 0.208899
2026-03-01 0.001130 0.007917 0.022954 0.049740 0.090246 0.144643 0.219154
2026-03-08 0.000919 0.007538 0.022872 0.050712 0.093254 0.150762 0.229892
2026-03-15 0.000763 0.007273 0.022982 0.051979 0.096694 0.157477 0.241436
2026-03-22 0.000462 0.006243 0.021448 0.050466 0.096020 0.158615 0.245719